The IMF says AI will hit 40% of jobs and worsen inequality

  • By Annabelle Liang
  • Business Correspondent

image source, Good pictures

Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the IMF, says, “In most circumstances, AI will worsen overall inequality”.

Ms Georgieva adds that policymakers need to address a “complex trend” to “prevent technology from fueling further social tensions”.

The proliferation of AI has brought into focus its benefits and risks.

The IMF said AI will impact the most – 60% of jobs in advanced economies. In half of these cases, workers can expect to benefit from the integration of AI, which will increase their productivity.

In other cases, AI will have the ability to perform core tasks currently performed by humans. This can reduce demand for workers, affect wages and even destroy jobs.

Meanwhile, the IMF predicts that technology will affect just 26% of jobs in low-income countries.

This echoes a report by Goldman Sachs in 2023, which estimated that AI could replace the equivalent of 300 million full-time jobs – but said there could be new jobs along with a boost in productivity.

“Many of these countries lack the infrastructure or skilled workforce to harness the benefits of AI, increasing the risk that the technology will worsen inequality between countries over time,” Ms Georgieva said.

More generally, higher-income and younger workers will see an increase in their wage inequality after adopting AI.

Low-income and older workers may hold back, the IMF believes.

The IMF analysis comes as global business and political leaders gather at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.

AI is a topic of discussion following the popularity of apps like ChatGPT.

China has introduced some of the world's first national regulations on AI, including rules on how algorithms can be developed and used.

In October, President Biden signed an executive order mandating developers to share AI-related security decisions with the US government.

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